Monday, August 31, 2009

A New Trend Following Exchange Traded Fund

January 05, 2011


Cambria Global Tactical ETF (GTAA) is a new actively managed ETF. It started trading about two ago.

The fund is managed by Mebane Faber and Eric Richardson from Cambria Investment Management. authors of the book The Ivy Portfolio: How to Invest Like the Top Endowments and Avoid Bear Markets, which outlines the trend-following strategy employed by the new fund.

In a nutshell the fund attempts to be invested in things going up and to limit losses by selling if they fall below a ten month moving average.

Investment allocation targets are
31% to equities including domestic, foreign and emerging markets, 30% to fixed income, 15% in REITs, 14% in commodities 10% in currencies. As a fund of funds, it will build each part of the portfolio using exchange-traded products; mostly ETFs, but also including ETNs and closed-end funds. The expense ratio is 1.35%.

I lile the Managers. I like the concept and I like the asset mix.

Click here for current chart






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August 11, 2010


Is the inflation story starting to show itself in commodities? Yes, I believe it is.



DBA, the PowerShares DB Agriculture Fund and DBB the Powershares DB Base Metals fund are showing signs of heading higher, and based on where these commodities traded before the worlds economies collapsed, they could move significantly higher.

Click DBA for the Agriculture chart and Click DBB for the Metals chart

If you want higher risk/reward, you can go 2X leveraged with DAG for Agriculture and BDD for metals.


October 14, 2009 - It is time to Short the 30 year Treasury


Long term rates couldn't stay low forever. It is time to short the 20 and 30 Year Treasury.

I'll be using TMV, the Direxion Daily 30-Year Treasury Bear 3x Shares.

TBT,the UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury ProShares should also be considered.

These ETFs move inverse to the respective treasury, so buying either TMV or TBT gets you short.

If you aren't familiar with leveraged ETFs, you should take time to understand how they work before taking a position. They are not meant to be Buy and Hold investments, although I do expect to be holding TMV for a while.

Click TMV for a current chart
Click TBT for a current chart




August 31,2009
It looks like Natural Gas Trusts are putting in a Bottom

SJT
is putting in a bottom. We now have higher lows and higher highs, and a S/R retest.

Click here for a current chart



And CRT is continuing along an uptrend line
Click here for current chart



HGT looks ready to pop out of a four month base.
Click here for current chart

1 comment:

  1. I think you had a pretty good blog going here. Clear, simple charts with a focus on the trend and breakouts - I like that. Let me know if you re-continue.

    ReplyDelete